Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.213705 0.245588 0.281521 0.325198 0.377090 0.437062 0.512041
2025-11-02 0.163943 0.205409 0.257214 0.327482 0.421522 0.544779 0.721480
2025-11-09 0.134817 0.179422 0.239371 0.327453 0.456367 0.642667 0.940893
2025-11-16 0.114732 0.159931 0.224217 0.324859 0.483249 0.731542 1.168506
2025-11-23 0.099456 0.143953 0.210250 0.319681 0.502875 0.811085 1.401367
2025-11-30 0.090699 0.135895 0.206190 0.328137 0.544702 0.935055 1.748647
2025-12-07 0.080878 0.124634 0.195126 0.322572 0.560453 1.015362 2.036668
2025-12-14 0.074109 0.117270 0.189164 0.324406 0.589377 1.126668 2.427200
2025-12-21 0.068080 0.110318 0.182825 0.324238 0.613983 1.234707 2.849582
2025-12-28 0.064132 0.106403 0.181182 0.332456 0.656936 1.392963 3.460400
2026-01-04 0.060230 0.102084 0.178179 0.337368 0.693689 1.546777 4.127152
2026-01-11 0.056786 0.098191 0.175434 0.342265 0.731321 1.713217 4.910951
2026-01-18 0.054125 0.095543 0.174906 0.352148 0.783856 1.937073 6.011253
2026-01-25 0.050952 0.091600 0.171361 0.354917 0.819999 2.129107 7.122846
2026-02-01 0.047847 0.087467 0.166922 0.354927 0.849194 2.311276 8.319443
2026-02-08 0.044812 0.083167 0.161630 0.352081 0.870215 2.476102 9.563717
2026-02-15 0.041847 0.078730 0.155549 0.346390 0.882168 2.616417 10.807407
2026-02-22 0.040335 0.077142 0.155484 0.355687 0.939915 2.936149 13.215373
2026-03-01 0.037817 0.073210 0.149762 0.349568 0.949892 3.087724 14.864747
2026-03-08 0.036084 0.070801 0.147254 0.351584 0.986107 3.355398 17.480318
2026-03-15 0.034346 0.068233 0.144104 0.351400 1.015387 3.608960 20.304905
2026-03-22 0.033305 0.067110 0.144248 0.360437 1.078370 4.035946 24.928825
2026-03-29 0.032116 0.065549 0.143170 0.365841 1.130392 4.441208 30.016945